tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-60389967342919340292007-09-04T14:38:00.000-04:002007-09-04T14:38:00.000-04:00The only pattern I recognize is that expert picks ...The only pattern I recognize is that expert picks tend to go out on a limb. They need to validate their existence, so if they pick teams to win within a range of 6-10 games, no one would bother paying attention. But the smartest prediction strategy is to go as short out on a limb as possible (like the 8-win strategy).I'd put money on teams that Vegas has as outliers: 5 or less wins and 10 or moreBrian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.com