tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-57903490342756896462007-09-04T23:33:00.000-04:002007-09-04T23:33:00.000-04:00

Derek, I agree MAE is only one way to look at it. But I disagree that 17/32 within 2 games, and 10/32 within 1 game, is any good.I ran the same comparison for the "mindless" 8-win prediction method (which I guess should be called the "null prediction"). Over the past 2 years, it was within 2 games an average of 16.5 times, and within 1 game an average of 10 times.For 2006 it was within 2 games 16

Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.com