Game Predictions Week 6

Game probabilities for week 6 are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength. The model now compensates for early-season instability in team efficiency stats to improve confidence levels.

Vprob	VISITOR	HOME	Hprob
0.58	CIN	KC	0.42
0.35	HOU	JAX	0.65
0.52	MIA	CLE	0.48
0.67	MIN	CHI	0.33
0.72	PHI	NYJ	0.28
0.34	STL	BAL	0.66
0.40	TEN	TB	0.60
0.62	WAS	GB	0.38
0.29	CAR	ARI	0.71
0.59	NE	DAL	0.41
0.36	OAK	SD	0.64
0.18	NO	SEA	0.82
0.77	NYG	ATL	0.23